The National Hurricane Center expects a tropical depression to form in the southwestern Gulf within a day or so. Its Tuesday morning outlook says people from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle should monitor the system.
In the October 6 outlook issued at 7 a.m. Central, forecasters give the disturbance, AL92, a 90% chance of developing within both 48 hours and seven days. It is expected to turn north or northeast toward the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week.
Those percentages describe the chance of a tropical cyclone forming. The Hurricane Center says it is still too early to determine specific northern Gulf Coast impacts. A New Orleans landfall or a particular local rainfall total has not been established.
What to check next
The New Orleans National Weather Service discussion, updated at 5:55 a.m. Tuesday, also says the system’s eventual location and strength remain uncertain. It lists Small Craft Advisories for coastal waters as conditions worsen this week.
Keep the official outlook handy if you have coastal plans or outdoor events later this week. This article reflects Tuesday morning’s forecast. Check those live sources again before making weather decisions.